US Retail New Vehicle Sales to Decline in July. Prices Up

US August 2022 Vehicle Sales and SAAR Forecast – Courtesy of and Copyright J.D. Power and LMC Automotive

Ken Zino of AutoInformed.com on US Retail New Vehicle Sales to Decline in July. Prices Up.

An affordability crisis looms. Click to Enlarge.

Higher prices along with a rising interest rates are leading to monthly loan payments reaching new all-time highs. After breaking $700 for the first time ever in July, the average monthly finance payment in August is forecast to hit a record $716, up $78 from August 2021. That translates to a 12.2% increase in monthly payments from a year ago, which is above the 11.5% increase in transaction prices. The average interest rate for new-vehicle loans is expected to increase 137 basis points from a year ago to 5.51%. Worse, monthly loan payments would be higher if not for ongoing soaring used-vehicle prices. This, of course, increases the amount of trade-in equity that new-vehicle buyers use on their next purchase.

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