Standard & Poor’s Raises Ford Motor to Highest Junk Level, Credit Watch Removed after No Cost Increase UAW Contract

AutoInformed.com

“We think this will be favorably received” by credit rating companies, Chief Financial Officer Lewis Booth said last week after the UAW contract was approved.

Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services has raised its corporate credit rating on Ford Motor and Ford Motor Credit to ‘BB+’ from ‘BB-‘. This is just one notch below investment grade.

Ford bonds have been appropriately rated as “junk” since 2005, when it was deeply in debt and struggling in Europe and North America,  while Ford after decades of  investing in large trucks and SUVs remained a mere footnote in booming Asian markets – the only significant growth markets in the automotive world.

Ford then borrowed $23 billion to fund restructurings in Europe and North America in 2006, further casting doubt on its financial viability.

In spite of two years of profitability, Ford still has $14 billion in debt as of June 30, according to an SEC filing. S&P warned that Ford’s business risk profile is “fair,” and its financial risk profile remains “significant.”

Higher credit ratings allows Ford to pay lower interest rates to borrow and refinance debt, which is needed to pay down existing debt and finance needed capital expenditures of roughly $7 billion annually. The S&P upgrade is largely based on the approval of a four-year Ford UAW contract that will actually decrease labor costs over its tem. (See Ford UAW Workers Ratify 4-Year No Cost Increase Contract)

“The upgrade reflects our view that, among other things, Ford’s prospects for generating free cash flow and profits in its automotive manufacturing business remain intact, because of its cost base in North America,” said Standard & Poor’s credit analyst Robert Schulz.

“We believe the company’s automotive operations in North America will remain profitable with industry light-vehicle sales at or even somewhat below current levels (i.e., more than 11.5 million units). We also believe Ford has good prospects for generating at least $2 billion in automotive operating cash flow in 2012, even if the key U.S. auto market does not recover significantly. But we also note that cash flow will be sensitive to volume and cost headwinds–including commodity prices and other cost increases–as well as future production volatility,” said Schulz.

(See also Ford Common Stock Dividend Coming Next Year? )

About Ken Zino

Ken Zino, editor and publisher of AutoInformed, is a versatile auto industry participant with global experience spanning decades in print and broadcast journalism, as well as social media. He has automobile testing, marketing, public relations and communications experience. He is past president of The International Motor Press Assn, the Detroit Press Club, founding member and first President of the Automotive Press Assn. He is a member of APA, IMPA and the Midwest Automotive Press Assn. He also brings an historical perspective while citing their contemporary relevance of the work of legendary auto writers such as Ken Purdy, Jim Dunne or Jerry Flint, or writers such as Red Smith, Mark Twain, Thomas Jefferson – all to bring perspective to a chaotic automotive universe. Above all, decades after he first drove a car, Zino still revels in the sound of the exhaust as the throttle is blipped during a downshift and the driver’s rush that occurs when the entry, apex and exit points of a turn are smoothly and swiftly crossed. It’s the beginning of a perfect lap. AutoInformed has an editorial philosophy that loves transportation machines of all kinds while promoting critical thinking about the future use of cars and trucks. Zino builds AutoInformed from his background in automotive journalism starting at Hearst Publishing in New York City on Motor and MotorTech Magazines and car testing where he reviewed hundreds of vehicles in his decade-long stint as the Detroit Bureau Chief of Road & Track magazine. Zino has also worked in Europe, and Asia – now the largest automotive market in the world with China at its center.
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