Ford Q3 Income, Profits Down as Volume Increases. No Dividend Yet, But Sooner Rather than Later Promised

AutoInformed.com

There’s really not much to smile about with a $73 million swing to a Q3 loss of $44 million in Asia Pacific and Africa compared to last year.

Ford Motor Company – NYSE: F – today reported Q3 2011 net income of $1.6 billion, or 41 cents per share, a decrease of $38 million in earnings, or 2 cents per share, versus third quarter of 2010 on revenue of $33.1 billion, an increase of $4.1 billion from rusults in Q3 2010.

Ford generated positive automotive operating-related cash flow of $400 million in the third quarter, but its total operating margin was only 4.8%. Ford claimed the results were “solid” given the uncertain business environment it is operating under.

Ford – in spite of media speculation – did not announce a dividend, which was suspended in September of 2006 as it faced a financial implosion, which was headed off by heavy borrowing before the collapse of the global financial markets sent General Motors and Chrysler into bankruptcy. CFO Lewis Booth said that the company intended to reinstate the dividend sooner rather than later, but he had nothing to further to say. (See Ford Common Stock Dividend Coming Next Year? )

Ford continues to struggle globally by posting losses in moribund European economies, and – surprisingly – the growth markets of Asia Pacific and Africa, where it invested late, favoring excursions in the funding of large trucks and SUVs in the U.S. Ford in North America, where Japanese competitors have been out of the market since the March earthquake and tsunami disrupted production, and South America reported pre-tax profits for Q3. The absence of the Japanese in North America allowed Ford to increase its revenue per car by cutting incentives and increasing prices, which caused a gain of $700 million compared to Q3 2010. This artificial boost will not last as Japanese production has now resumed.

As a result, Ford Q3 2011 pre-tax operating profit was $1.9 billion, or 46 cents per share, a decrease of in earnings of $111 million, or 2 cents per share, from Q3 2010. Ford’s third quarter net income was affected once again by unfavorable special items, this time of $98 million. The special items include personnel reduction actions, Mercury and other dealer-related actions in North America.

Third quarter Ford Credit pre-tax operating profit was $581 million, a decrease of $185 million from third quarter 2010. Ford’s third quarter revenue was $33.1 billion, an increase of $4.1 billion from third quarter 2010. Ford generated positive automotive operating-related cash flow of $400 million in the third quarter.

Debt – at $12.7 billion – remains problematic for the “junk bond” rated automaker. However, Ford decreased automotive debt by$1.3 billion in the third quarter. This included payment of the remaining $1.8 billion balance of secured Term Loan debt, which was offset partially by an increase in controversial taxpayer-subsidized low-cost loans from the Department of Energy ($5.9 billion) to support advanced technology under the guise of retooling existing plants.

Ford Q3 ended with $20.8 billion of automotive gross cash, a decrease of $1.2 billion compared to June 30, 2011. Automotive gross cash exceeded debt by $8.1 billion, a good improvement of $10.7 billion from a year ago. Ford’s automotive liquidity totaled $31 billion.

In the first nine months of 2011, the seasonally adjusted annual rate of sales was 12.8 million in the U.S. and 15.3 million in the 19 markets Ford tracks in Europe. Based on the latest outlook for industry volumes, Ford has finally decreased its U.S. full year industry forecast to 13 million units, compared with 13.5 million units previously. For the 19 markets, mostly older markets that Ford tracks in Europe, Ford now forecasts the industry volume at 15.2 million units, compared with a previous range of 14.8 million to 15.3 million units.

As Ford reported with first and second quarter results, quality remains mixed due to what Ford calls “some near-term issues” in North America, which Ford claims to be addressing. (See Chrysler Up, GM Sideways, Ford Down in Consumer Reports Annual Reliability Survey Revealed Today at APA in Detroit and FrankenFord Monster Loose In “Deerbern” Terrorizing Peasants and Threatening Public Safety On the Roads)

Ford expects its full year U.S. total market share, its U.S. retail share of the retail market and European market share to be equal to or improved from 2010. In the first nine months, Ford’s U.S. total market share was 16.5%, its U.S. retail share of the retail market was 13.9% and European market share was 8.3%.

About Ken Zino

Ken Zino, editor and publisher of AutoInformed, is a versatile auto industry participant with global experience spanning decades in print and broadcast journalism, as well as social media. He has automobile testing, marketing, public relations and communications experience. He is past president of The International Motor Press Assn, the Detroit Press Club, founding member and first President of the Automotive Press Assn. He is a member of APA, IMPA and the Midwest Automotive Press Assn. He also brings an historical perspective while citing their contemporary relevance of the work of legendary auto writers such as Ken Purdy, Jim Dunne or Jerry Flint, or writers such as Red Smith, Mark Twain, Thomas Jefferson – all to bring perspective to a chaotic automotive universe. Above all, decades after he first drove a car, Zino still revels in the sound of the exhaust as the throttle is blipped during a downshift and the driver’s rush that occurs when the entry, apex and exit points of a turn are smoothly and swiftly crossed. It’s the beginning of a perfect lap. AutoInformed has an editorial philosophy that loves transportation machines of all kinds while promoting critical thinking about the future use of cars and trucks. Zino builds AutoInformed from his background in automotive journalism starting at Hearst Publishing in New York City on Motor and MotorTech Magazines and car testing where he reviewed hundreds of vehicles in his decade-long stint as the Detroit Bureau Chief of Road & Track magazine. Zino has also worked in Europe, and Asia – now the largest automotive market in the world with China at its center.
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