GlobalData – Chinese BYD Hidden Debt Risk

The massive China-based electric vehicle company BYD (1211 HKG)* with more than 968,000 employees and a market capitalization of ~$155.5B is not only caught in the tariff crossfire between Donald Trump and the Chinese Government, but it has its own business structure problems as well.

“BYD posted record 2024 results with revenues of $108.1 billion (CNY777.1 billion) (+29% year-on-year (YoY)) and net profit of $5.6 billion (CNY40.2 billion) (+34% YoY). However, experts warn that the company’s growing reliance on supply chain financing could expose it to serious financial risks if market conditions deteriorate,” said Murthy Grandhi, Company Profiles Analyst at the respected GlobalData consultancy.**

“Despite holding $17.8 billion (CNY102.5 billion) in cash and reducing total debt to $5.8 billion (CNY194.2 billion), BYD’s accounts payables rose 24.3% YoY to $33.6 billion (CNY241.6 billion) in 2024, reaching $34.9 billion (CNY250.8 billion) by March 2025. Over five years, this figure has grown at a CAGR of 41.2%, outpacing both revenue and profit growth.

“BYD’s financing method involves issuing commercial paper to suppliers, who then sell it to banks. These are treated as trade finance, not corporate debt. However, if credit sentiment shifts, this paper could trade below par. Banks may demand cash, suppliers may go unpaid, and production lines could stall—like Evergrande’s liquidity crisis.

GlobalData claimed that this model is only vulnerable under “significant market stress.” If EV demand drops or credit tightens, BYD may need to accelerate supplier payments or seek external funding, both of which could strain its liquidity.”

BYD’s ability to sustain growth while ensuring transparency “will be vital to preserving investor confidence amid its increasingly leveraged expansion.” AutoInformed leaves how you weigh this considered opinion to you.

*AutoInformed on

**GlobalData

GlobalData says that “4000 of the world’s largest companies, including over 70% of FTSE 100 and 60% of Fortune 100 companies, make more timely and better business decisions thanks to GlobalData’s unique data, expert analysis and innovative solutions, all in one platform. GlobalData’s mission is to help our clients decode the future to be more successful and innovative across a range of industries, including the healthcare, consumer, retail, financial, technology and professional services sectors.” J.D. Power is also part of GlobalData. Inquiries at: customersuccess.automotive@globaldata.com

About Ken Zino

Ken Zino, editor and publisher of AutoInformed, is a versatile auto industry participant with global experience spanning decades in print and broadcast journalism, as well as social media. He has automobile testing, marketing, public relations and communications experience. He is past president of The International Motor Press Assn, the Detroit Press Club, founding member and first President of the Automotive Press Assn. He is a member of APA, IMPA and the Midwest Automotive Press Assn. He also brings an historical perspective while citing their contemporary relevance of the work of legendary auto writers such as Ken Purdy, Jim Dunne or Jerry Flint, or writers such as Red Smith, Mark Twain, Thomas Jefferson – all to bring perspective to a chaotic automotive universe. Above all, decades after he first drove a car, Zino still revels in the sound of the exhaust as the throttle is blipped during a downshift and the driver’s rush that occurs when the entry, apex and exit points of a turn are smoothly and swiftly crossed. It’s the beginning of a perfect lap. AutoInformed has an editorial philosophy that loves transportation machines of all kinds while promoting critical thinking about the future use of cars and trucks. Zino builds AutoInformed from his background in automotive journalism starting at Hearst Publishing in New York City on Motor and MotorTech Magazines and car testing where he reviewed hundreds of vehicles in his decade-long stint as the Detroit Bureau Chief of Road & Track magazine. Zino has also worked in Europe, and Asia – now the largest automotive market in the world with China at its center.
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