Labor Demand Down Again, Continuing Unemployment Trend

Online advertised vacancies were down 43,500 in September to 3,947,100, according a Conference Board study released today. The September drop follows a decline of 164,000 in August and a decrease of 217,000 in July. The Supply/Demand ratio stands at 3.50, meaning there were 3.5 unemployed for every online advertised vacancy in August, the latest monthly data available for unemployment. Nationally, there are 10 million more people officially unemployed (9.98 million) than advertised vacancies under the “no jobs” Obama Administration.

The number of advertised vacancies exceeded the number of unemployed only in North Dakota, where the Supply/Demand rate was 0.94.  States with the next lowest rates included South Dakota (1.39), Nebraska (1.54), Alaska (1.69), Vermont (1.78), and New Hampshire (1.89).

States with the highest Supply/Demand rate are led by Mississippi (7.39), where there are over 7 unemployed workers for every online advertised vacancy, followed by Alabama (5.29), South Carolina (5.29), and Kentucky (5.08).

“In the last six months, labor demand has experienced a drop of 500,000, cutting sharply into the gain of 763,000 at the beginning of the year,” said June Shelp, Vice President at The Conference Board. “This narrows the average monthly gain for 2011 to 29,000.”

In a release the Conference board noted that slowdown varies widely for different occupations.  In legal occupations, labor demand stalled as early as the beginning of 2010, but in the last six months it has dropped 23% to 21,600 in September.

In contrast, advertised vacancies for production workers gained steadily since mid-2009 until July 2011, but in the last two months, it dipped further. It is now down 10% to 117,000 in September.  The U.S. of course lacks an industrial policy that protects, let along creates, manufacturing jobs – the only major economy in the world to ignores this vital sector.

The Conference Board said that the  Supply/Demand ratio only provides a measure of relative tightness of the individual State labor markets and does not suggest that the occupations of the unemployed directly align with the occupations of the advertised vacancies.

Since the beginning of the year, labor demand was down among a number of high-paying occupations, many of them related to manufacturing. With the September declines, Computer and Mathematical Science occupations were down 4% (-23,000) since January while Management positions were down 11% (-48,000). Community and Social Service positions were down 15,000, a drop of 24%, since January. However, the job market was not as difficult for these job-seekers.  Based on August data, there are about 2 unemployed for every advertised vacancy in Community and social service (2.10) and Management (1.85). In contrast, there are about 3 openings for every unemployed job-seeker in Computer and mathematical science (0.29).

About Ken Zino

Ken Zino, editor and publisher of AutoInformed, is a versatile auto industry participant with global experience spanning decades in print and broadcast journalism, as well as social media. He has automobile testing, marketing, public relations and communications experience. He is past president of The International Motor Press Assn, the Detroit Press Club, founding member and first President of the Automotive Press Assn. He is a member of APA, IMPA and the Midwest Automotive Press Assn. He also brings an historical perspective while citing their contemporary relevance of the work of legendary auto writers such as Ken Purdy, Jim Dunne or Jerry Flint, or writers such as Red Smith, Mark Twain, Thomas Jefferson – all to bring perspective to a chaotic automotive universe. Above all, decades after he first drove a car, Zino still revels in the sound of the exhaust as the throttle is blipped during a downshift and the driver’s rush that occurs when the entry, apex and exit points of a turn are smoothly and swiftly crossed. It’s the beginning of a perfect lap. AutoInformed has an editorial philosophy that loves transportation machines of all kinds while promoting critical thinking about the future use of cars and trucks. Zino builds AutoInformed from his background in automotive journalism starting at Hearst Publishing in New York City on Motor and MotorTech Magazines and car testing where he reviewed hundreds of vehicles in his decade-long stint as the Detroit Bureau Chief of Road & Track magazine. Zino has also worked in Europe, and Asia – now the largest automotive market in the world with China at its center.
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